Institutional-grade methodology reports, macro regime observations, and model performance analyses. All content is observational — not investment advice.
Macro Analytics
MVIE Insights: Analyzing Macro-Micro Divergences and Network Centricity
·6 min read
When the composite MVIE score signals a calm GREEN regime yet individual holdings exhibit overbought technicals, a Macro-Micro Divergence is in play. This report dissects the structural mechanics of that divergence and how network centrality shifts amplify systemic fragility before visible drawdowns.
Absorption Ratio Deep-Dive: PCA Eigenvalue Concentration as a Regime Signal
·2 min read
The Absorption Ratio (AR) — the share of total variance absorbed by dominant eigenvectors of the covariance matrix — is one of three structural pillars in the MVIE composite score. This report unpacks the PCA mechanics, explains why AR rises before correlation breakdowns, and shows how MVIE uses it as a fragility barometer.