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Quantitative Research & Macro Analysis

Independent, non-commercial research: methodology notes, macro regime observations, and model evaluations. All content is observational — not investment advice.

Quantitative Research

Absorption Ratio Deep-Dive: PCA Eigenvalue Concentration as a Regime Signal

·2 min read

The Absorption Ratio (AR) — the share of total variance absorbed by the top eigenvalues of the correlation matrix — is one of three structural pillars in the MVIE composite score. This report unpacks the PCA mechanics, explains what a rising AR says about the correlation structure, and shows how MVIE uses it as a fragility barometer.

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