Comunicado del FOMC del 29 de octubre de 2014
Este comunicado del Federal Open Market Committee, comparado frase por frase con el comunicado programado anterior: qué cambió en el texto y cómo votó el Comité.
En pocas palabras
El Federal Open Market Committee publicó este comunicado el 29 de octubre de 2014. Frente al comunicado programado anterior, del 17 de septiembre de 2014: 10 frases cambiaron, 8 se añadieron, 10 se eliminaron y 7 se mantuvieron iguales. En palabras: 296 añadidas, 488 eliminadas. La votación de este comunicado: 1 miembro votó en contra: Narayana Kocherlakota. La del comunicado del 17 de septiembre de 2014: 2 miembros votaron en contra: Richard W. Fisher, Charles I. Plosser.
Comunicado del FOMC · 29 de octubre de 2014
Frases cambiadas frente al comunicado programado anterior (17 de septiembre de 2014)
7 sin cambios · 10 cambiadas · 8 añadidas · 10 eliminadas · palabras +296 / −488
- 17 de septiembre de 2014
- 2 miembros votaron en contra: Richard W. Fisher, Charles I. Plosser.
- 29 de octubre de 2014
- 1 miembro votó en contra: Narayana Kocherlakota.
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in July September suggests that economic activity is expanding at a moderate pace.
Labor market conditions improved somewhat further, with solid job gains and a lower unemployment rate.
On balance, labor market conditions improved somewhat further; however, the unemployment rate is little changed and a range of labor market indicators suggests that there remains significant underutilization of labor resources is gradually diminishing.
Household spending appears to be is rising moderately and business fixed investment is advancing, while the recovery in the housing sector remains slow.
Fiscal policy is restraining economic growth, although the extent of restraint is diminishing.
Inflation has been running continued to run below the Committee's longer-run objective.
Market-based measures of inflation compensation have declined somewhat; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable.
The Committee sees the risks to the outlook for economic activity and the labor market as nearly balanced and judges that the likelihood of inflation running persistently below 2 percent has diminished somewhat since early this year.
Although inflation in the near term will likely be held down by lower energy prices and other factors, the Committee judges that the likelihood of inflation running persistently below 2 percent has diminished somewhat since early this year.
The Committee judges that there has been a substantial improvement in the outlook for the labor market since the inception of its current asset purchase program.
Moreover, the Committee currently judges that there is continues to see sufficient underlying strength in the broader economy to support ongoing improvement progress toward maximum employment in labor market conditions a context of price stability.
In light of the cumulative progress toward maximum employment and the improvement in the outlook for labor market conditions since the inception of the current asset purchase program, the Committee decided to make a further measured reduction in the pace of its asset purchases.
Beginning in October, the Committee will add to its holdings of agency mortgage-backed securities at a pace of $5 billion per month rather than $10 billion per month, and will add to its holdings of longer-term Treasury securities at a pace of $10 billion per month rather than $15 billion per month.
The Committee's sizable and still-increasing holdings of longer-term securities should maintain downward pressure on longer-term interest rates, support mortgage markets, and help to make broader financial conditions more accommodative, which in turn should promote a stronger economic recovery and help to ensure that inflation, over time, is at the rate most consistent with the Committee's dual mandate.
The Committee will closely monitor incoming information on economic and financial developments in coming months and will continue its purchases of Treasury and agency mortgage-backed securities, and employ its other policy tools as appropriate, until the outlook for the labor market has improved substantially in a context of price stability.
If incoming information broadly supports the Committee's expectation of ongoing improvement in labor market conditions and inflation moving back toward its longer-run objective, the Committee will end its current program of asset purchases at its next meeting.
However, asset purchases are not on a preset course, and the Committee's decisions about their pace will remain contingent on the Committee's outlook for the labor market and inflation as well as its assessment of the likely efficacy and costs of such purchases.
Accordingly, the Committee decided to conclude its asset purchase program this month.
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
To support continued progress toward maximum employment and price stability, the Committee today reaffirmed its view that a highly accommodative stance of monetary policy the current 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate remains appropriate.
In determining how long to maintain the current 0 to 1/4 percent this target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess progress--both realized and expected--toward its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation.
The Committee continues to anticipate anticipates, based on its current assessment of these factors, that it likely will be appropriate to maintain the current 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate for a considerable time after following the end of its asset purchase program ends this month, especially if projected inflation continues to run below the Committee's 2 percent longer-run goal, and provided that longer-term inflation expectations remain well anchored.
Voting against the action were Richard W. Fisher and Charles I. Plosser.
President Fisher believed that the continued strengthening of the real economy, improved outlook for labor utilization and for general price stability, and continued signs of financial market excess, will likely warrant an earlier reduction in monetary accommodation than is suggested by the Committee's stated forward guidance.
President Plosser objected to the guidance indicating that it likely will be appropriate to maintain the current target range for the federal funds rate for "a considerable time after the asset purchase program ends," because such language is time dependent and does not reflect the considerable economic progress that has been made toward the Committee's goals.
However, if incoming information indicates faster progress toward the Committee's employment and inflation objectives than the Committee now expects, then increases in the target range for the federal funds rate are likely to occur sooner than currently anticipated.
Conversely, if progress proves slower than expected, then increases in the target range are likely to occur later than currently anticipated.
Voting against the action was Narayana Kocherlakota, who believed that, in light of continued sluggishness in the inflation outlook and the recent slide in market-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations, the Committee should commit to keeping the current target range for the federal funds rate at least until the one-to-two-year ahead inflation outlook has returned to 2 percent and should continue the asset purchase program at its current level.
Mostrar las 7 frases sin cambios
Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability.
The Committee expects that, with appropriate policy accommodation, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace, with labor market indicators and inflation moving toward levels the Committee judges consistent with its dual mandate.
The Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction.
This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial developments.
When the Committee decides to begin to remove policy accommodation, it will take a balanced approach consistent with its longer-run goals of maximum employment and inflation of 2 percent.
The Committee currently anticipates that, even after employment and inflation are near mandate-consistent levels, economic conditions may, for some time, warrant keeping the target federal funds rate below levels the Committee views as normal in the longer run.
Statement Regarding Purchases of Treasury Securities and Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities
Fuente: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System — el comunicado en federalreserve.gov · 17 de septiembre de 2014
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